[Lanny_McDonald]

Continuing on with the weekly polling data update here are the trends.

We will acknowledge that Trump is a clear winner in Alaska (3), Idaho (4), Montana (3), Wyoming (3), Utah (6), North Dakota (3), South Dakota (3), Nebraska (5), Kansas (6) Oklahoma (7), Missouri (10), Arkansas (6), Louisiana (8), Mississippi (6), Tennessee (11), Kentucky (8), Indiana (11) and West Virginia (5).

Trump has South Carolina (9) leaning his way.

Trump = 117 electoral college votes.

We will also acknowledge that Biden is a clear winner in California (55), Oregon (5), Washington (12), Illinois (20), New York (29), Massachusetts (11), Rhode Island (4), Connecticut (7), New Jersey (14), Delaware (3), Hawaii (4), Maryland (10) and DC (3).

Biden has Nevada (6), New Mexico (5), Colorado (9), Minnesota (10), and Maine (4) leaning his way.

Biden = 220 electoral college votes.

This leaves the follow as battleground states. Data from Real Clear Politics averages (trend indicates riser).

Arizona (11) - Biden +3.2 (trend Trump +2.5)
Wisconsin (10) - Biden +6.6 (trend Trump +.1)
Michigan (16) - Biden +5.2 (trend Biden +1.0)
Ohio (18) - Biden +3.3 (trend Biden +.9)
Pennsylvania (20) - Biden +4.3 (flat)
Virginia (13) - Biden +11.0 (trend Trump +3.0)
North Carolina (15) - Biden +0.8 (trend Trump +.1)
Georgia (16) - Trump +1.0 (trend Biden +.3)
Florida (29) - Biden +1.3 (trend Trump +.3)

Texas (38) moves into battleground state territory - Trump +3.6 (trend Trump +1.0)
Iowa (6) moves into battleground state territory - Tie (trend Biden +3.0)

Electoral College Projection

Trump (encumbent) - 185 vs Biden - 353


We'll also add some important Senate races as they provide interesting context to possible swings in given states and should help normalize expectations from some of the polling.

Arizona - Kelly (D) vs McSally (R)* - Kelly +5.5 (trend McSally +1.5)
North Carolina - Cunningham (D) vs Tillis (R)* - Cunninghan +5.2 (trend Cunningham +1.0)
Michigan - Peters (D)* vs James (R) - Peters +4.5 (trend Peters +1.0)
Maine - Gideon (D) vs Collins (R)* - Gideon +6.0 (trend Gideon +1.0)
Iowa - Greenfield (D) vs Ernst (R)* - Greenfield +2.6 (trend Greenfield +2.3)
Montana - Bullock (D) vs Daines (R)* - Daines +1.6 (trend Bullock +.4)
Colorado - Hickenlooper (D) vs Gardner (R)* - Hickenlooper +7.4 (trend Hickenlooper +2.4)
Minnesota - Smith (D)* vs Lewis (R) - Smith +8.7 (flat)
Georgia - Ossoff (D) vs Perdue (R)* - Perdue +3.3 (trend Ossoff +1.0)
Alabama - Jones (D)* vs Tuberville (R) - Tuberville +8.0 (flat)
Texas - Hegar (D) vs Cornyn (R)* - Cornyn +7.5 (trend Hegar +1.5)

New entry!!! - South Carolina - Harrison (D) vs Graham (R)* - Tie (trend Harrison +7.0)

Senate projection - Republican 49 vs Democrat - 51