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Old 09-17-2020, 01:17 PM   #3777
Lanny_McDonald
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG View Post
Now if we say there is a 2% pooling error nationally which is the same in every state Trump ends of winning Florida, Georgia, NC which brings him to 246.

A 2.4% polling error brings him Ohio and up to 264 which makes Michigan the tipping point state. It just happens to be one of the more error prone states.
Or we can take the opposite view of that polling error and that would shift Georgia and Texas (not on the list) as in Biden's column and its a massive blow out. That is why I tend to keep polling errors out of the mix as they allow for the building of false narratives. The polling from the last election was quite accurate, so I'm still going to trust the polls, especially state-by-state.
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