Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis
Compared to 538 who gave Trump a ~30% chance of winning? I'd say that's destroyed. Trump will again probably have a 20-30% chance of winning this time. Still makes Biden a heavy favorite, but 99% is basically a guarantee, 70% is much riskier.
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If the election was tomorrow, then high 90s might be supportable. So many things could happen in 2 months, it's pretty silly to claim 99% now.