Quote:
Originally Posted by mikephoen
Did their 99% prediction get 'destroyed' though? That still leaves a 1% chance. Just because we have the unfortunate luck to live in the universe where the 1% chance came through, doesn't mean the 99% prediction was wrong.
|
Compared to 538 who gave Trump a ~30% chance of winning? I'd say that's destroyed. Trump will again probably have a 20-30% chance of winning this time. Still makes Biden a heavy favorite, but 99% is basically a guarantee, 70% is much riskier.