Quote:
Originally Posted by Cecil Terwilliger
I’m too lazy to check but I’m betting the 1.5 to 2.2 number is if they did nothing at all since February.
Even bragging about his current numbers could be misleading. We’re not even close to finished. It’s like bragging about covering the 35 point spread but it’s only halftime.
|
It was based on modeling from March17th so since not much was done at that point, then yest, that's the starting point. So really the model over-predicted by a huge amount(perhaps 10 fold), and a good response would have resulted in 10 000-24 000 deaths.