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Old 09-16-2020, 02:56 PM   #770
Enoch Root
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Join Date: May 2012
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo View Post
Not quite.

a shot attempt is very similar to a scoring chance, but the scoring chance occurs in the home plate zone.

A high danger chance is in the home plate zone, but occurs off a pass, deflection or rebound which is considerably more dangerous and a better stat for looking at chances to score.

So a stat like xGF is better by a good margin than shot attempts because it does bring quality and location into play.
You missed my point.

A high danger chance occurs off a pass or deflection or rebound, but it is still subject to quality. Some teams will do a better job of rushing or pressuring those opportunities than others will.

More tightly defining the chances does nothing for accounting for the quality differentials within those definitions.
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