Many polls released today:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ident-general/
If I try to spin a narrative out of this much data I am going to embarrass myself. With that disclaimer this seems to have in general been a very good day for Biden with polls continuing to show him leading by high single digits nationally (and double digits in a few cases) and also leading in the key swing states he will need to win (though more narrowly in the battleground states than nationally).
Marquette University’s Wisconsin poll came out and had Biden up by 4 among likely voters and 7 among registered voters. That was one of 3 Wisconsin polls—the other two also show Biden leading by single digits. Marquette’s last poll had Biden +5 so this isn’t meaningfully different in my view.
Biden also got a good result from Marist in Pennsylvania. And Morning Consult released polls of a number of battleground states, with Biden leading (albeit narrowly in some cases) in all of them except for Ohio, Georgia, and Texas. Texas was tied.
Ohio is likely a lost cause for Democrats now but the fact that Georgia and Texas seem to be competitive must be keeping some people awake on the Trump campaign team. Demographics aside I cannot imagine a scenario where Trump wins Georgia by only a point or two and still wins the election. If Georgia is close, conventional wisdom suggests it will be a bad night for Trump.
One other observation: as pollsters move to the likely voter models this doesn’t seem to be helping Trump much. In some polls Biden’s lead is larger among likely voters.