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Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
This all makes sense, and I could certainly see him not seeking re-election, but don't count out the desire to win and the perceived impact of being an incumbent president. Trump is the exception to every political rule, but one such rule is that if you're running against an incumbent, you're running uphill. So if things are actually looking okay - i.e. his approval rating is solid - I would expect him to seek a second term. Not written in stone, but if I were to bet on one outcome or the other, that's what I'd bet on.
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I just want t say I was being very literal, I don't think anyone is
counting on Biden to last until the next election, and I would assume that what ever longterm plans anyone has about Biden presidency, the possibility of Biden stepping down for health reasons is up there on the list of potential scenarios.
It's possible that Biden could run for a second term, but just looking at him, I'd put the odds at below 50/50 at this point.
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This, I don't agree with. I'm sure there will be a nomination process like this one but if you've been the VP, unless the administration you were in is deeply unpopular, you're the presumptive nominee next time around if you want to run. Harris clearly wants it. So, again, unless something goes very wrong for the Democrats, she's almost certainly their next presidential candidate, whether it's in 4 years or 8.
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Let's be honest here, Harris was chosen because she was the best choice among women of color, and the Dems needed someone who ticked those two boxes. That has almost nothing to do with her actual support within the party. The days when the VP had a good shot of becoming the candidate were when it was just all white guys.
I just don't see Harris becoming anywhere nearly popular enough to be worth the risk of backing her against any white man the Republicans would put up against her. She's no Obama, and she's not even Hillary, who at least had big, vocal and influential support group within the party.