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Originally Posted by Iowa_Flames_Fan
Another polling bonanza today (some of which are discussed above) and a mix of results that if you’re Biden might give you comfort in some swing states while giving you heartburn in a few others.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ident-general/
So if you’re Biden you like that there were not one but TWO polls in Wisconsin showing Biden up 8 points. You might temper that reaction when you realize one of those two is from a British pollster that (frankly) I had not heard of until today. And then another poll (from Democratic pollster PPP) conforms that Texas is very, very, close.
On the “bad” side there is a Marist poll showing Biden and Trump tied (48-48) in Florida. Two other polls (one from that British pollster and another from a Democratic-affiliated firm) show Biden with small leads in Florida within the margin of error.
And then the “middling”. GOP pollster Susquehanna continues to show a tight race in Pennsylvania. Other pollsters have Biden leads in the low single digits in PA as well as Michigan and Arizona. On the other hand, Trump being up only 5 in Missouri is a bad sign for him.
I guess one way to look at it is if you are looking for a narrative you can find it today.... |
Absent another almost Covid-level Black Swan event I doubt we'll see any movement in polls that isn't simply noise.
I subscribe to the political theory that there are no more undecided voters. People know who they're voting for if they vote. The key to winning this election is going to be turnout.