For those who want to compare 2016 to 2020 in terms of “polling average” Nathaniel Rakich of 538 is keeping an update of averages vs historical averages from time to time. Not sure how to link a tweet but I’ve put a URL link below and copied and pasted his list for reference:
https://mobile.twitter.com/baseballo...30054739496963
His tweet:
Quote:
The
@FiveThirtyEight
nat'l polling average with 56 days until E-Day:
2020: Biden+7.5*
2016: Clinton+2.0
2012: Obama+3.5*
2008: McCain+1.2*
2004: Bush+7.5*
2000: Gore+2.9
1996: Clinton+16.0
1992: Clinton+7.8
1988: Bush+4.1
1984: Reagan+19.7
1980: Reagan+3.4
1976: Carter+13.4
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