Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
You've... you've just explained Obama's victory in Ohio in 2012 by returning to the very same "Chuck Todd" theory you said you didn't believe in! The Republican base in Ohio simply did not have any reason to believe that Romney would do anything for them in their day to day lives. Meanwhile, Obama was popular - from September onwards in 2012, his approval rating never dropped below 48 according to gallup, was generally in the low 50s and peaked at 57.
No, Obama did not win Ohio because of some gotcha comment Romney made in a blurry video that dominated CNN for a few days. Attributing the victory to that sort of event is missing the point entirely, yet again.
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Couldn't it be both? The video (not on its own obviously) provided enough evidence to Ohio Republicans that Romney wouldn't do anything for them in their day to day lives, so they just stayed home?
This is honestly my fear with Biden. Yes, he's popular among the "I would have voted Obama for a third time if I could have" liberals, but the Democrats have done nothing to make the case to the average voter that life under a Biden presidency will be dramatically better for them than it would be under a Trump administration.
The "decency" argument only gets you so far, IMO, and most voters don't give a crap about Trump's various scandals because they're too in the weeds (similar to Trudeau's scandals here).