Quote:
Originally Posted by Jiri Hrdina
Nope I didn't.
You stated that they got Crosby by being a garbage team.
I stated that they got him by being lucky.
I think my statement is more true than yours.
And yes it underscores how just tanking and focusing on draft picks isn't enough - you have to have some good fortune in terms of when you, how good that draft is, and how high a pick you get in a lottery world.
That's the risk of going scored earth.
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Only speaking to the bolder part of your statement.
Is the risk of NOT going scorched earth equivalent to flames fortune over the past 3 decades now? You are correct that just picking high isn't enough, development, roster building strategy all play a big part (just see the oilers) and there's definitely some luck involved. But it's still a path that is required in the draft based, team building. especially for a market like Calgary which isn't a destination Ufa's are typically wanting to go to, and a team that isn't on a ntc exception list for most players.
To get high end players, flames need to draft those players. As such, until they try scorched earth, I think the odds are against them using the model of the last 30 years to build a perennial contender.