Thought I'd bump this, given how things have changed in the past year (and knowing they'll likely still change.
I made a list considering some of the rumoured changes, but it does call into question what the implications of a Gaudreau trade might be, or what we do on the backend. This is assuming Valimaki will be exempt and Lucic will waive, which might be big assumptions.
7F/3D/1G
Forwards (definitely protected):
Tkachuk
Monahan
Gaudreau (Hall?)
Lindholm
Remaining forwards (likely protected):
Backlund
Mangiapane
Dube
Defence (definitely protected):
Giordano
Andersson
Defence (likely protected):
Hanifin
Goaltenders:
Rittich (unless another starter is acquired)
Notable players exposed:
Ryan
Bennett
Kylington
Seems pretty reasonable. However, if Gaudreau is traded, it's possible that a non-exempt forward is acquired. That would mean that Backlund, Dube, or Mangiapane would be exposed, and in that scenario any of those four would likely be taken (assuming the Flames don't acquire a forward in the Gaudreau trade and then leave him exposed, which would be such a waste).
And we can assume that with the potential loss of Brodie and Hamonic, we will acquire another Top 4 D (or re-sign Brodie). That means that player would likely be exposed. Not a big deal if they're a UFA pickup and Valimaki cements himself in the Top 4, but it does pose another question: If you acquire another Top 4 D worth protecting, do you then trade Hanifin for some considerable assets? If you did, I think you'd want to do it early on, as he's going to cost teams a protection slot and the longer he can prove he belongs in their top 3, the better (and there aren't a ton of teams where he'd be the no-brainer 3rd protection slot).
Bennett has been predicted by a few spots as the guy taken in the expansion draft, but I think depending on what the Flames do to improve the team this year, we may lose one of Backlund, Dube, Mangiapane or a Top 4 D instead.
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