Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
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Might be the most stupid statistical analysis I have ever seen.
“As we calculated above, the "ideal" probability that a team that wins the first game of a series will win the rest of the series is 65.625%. Since these two numbers are quite close, So, in conclusion, there is no psychological advantage to winning the first game of a best-of-seven series. There appears to be no advantage to winning the first game than the fact that a team that wins the first game now only needs to win three more, instead of four.
Also, the winner of the first game is only a moderately good predictor (i.e. less than 64%) of who is going to win the series. A much better predictor would be the winner of the last game of the series.”
In a best of five it will be higher than 65%, if you win the first game.