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Old 07-26-2020, 08:31 AM   #581
Itse
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo View Post
9 of the top 10 teams in xgf% are still playing. I think that's significant in this argument. Don't you?

You seem pissy about this.

Am I being too hard on the Jets?
LOL at the bolded.

My point was ultimately semantic. If you pick such an obviously cherrypicked number of teams, it makes you look like a cherrypicker, even if the data really IS objectively on the side of the point you're trying to make. That's all.

As for the significance of shot-based stats, meh.

You can just as easily put it this way: the shot-based stats in combination with the standings and goals differential suggest Jets are about as good as us even when they get dominated in shots. That suggests we need to dominate them in shot attempts just to make the series as close as the standings were, and even then we'd be slight underdogs (because of what the goal differential says). Additionally, shot-based stats remain relatively weak predictors especially in small sample sizes.

However since all data is months old anyway, what ever. None of the team stats are super relevant anymore. There's no harm in talking corsi while waiting for the puck to drop.

Last edited by Itse; 07-26-2020 at 08:44 AM.
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