LIBYA/EGYPT Update
Quote:
Originally Posted by Baron von Kriterium
The LNA expects a battle to begin "within hours"...
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The GNA hasn't yet attacked, possibly because the Egyptian Parliament authorized the deployment of their military in Libya. Al-Sisi hasn't taken any action yet other to hold drills along the border. LNA claims to have shot down a Turk drone near Sirte this morning.
Sirte is a vital point because it is an oil-exporting terminal.
Egypt has a potentially much bigger problem than Libya to deal with: the construction by Ethiopia of the
The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) on the Blue Nile river.
While nobody really knows what the eventual impact of this dam will be on Sudan and Egypt, it is pretty clear that a civilization built along the Nile river will face a major threat to its way of life if the Nile river flow is disturbed in a major way (which this dam will definitely do). Major actors will decide the fate of Libya, not Turkey and Egypt. So, I am inclined to think Egypt is prepared to spark conflict with Ethiopia over this dam. How they would go about that is an interesting topic itself.
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