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Old 07-18-2020, 03:47 PM   #268
Baron von Kriterium
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LIBYA

A couple of days ago, the Turk Air Force made its first direct flight to Libya, specifically to the air force base in Misrata.



This Government of National Accord (GNA) captured this base from the Libyan National Army (LNA) in May. Since then, Turkey has been busy repairing damage to the base. It's quite likely that Turkey wishes to establish a permanent presence at this base.

At the beginning of this month, there was an air strike on the base that took out the Hawk AD and the KORAL EW systems. Again, Turkey/GNA have been busy rebuilding, as the second photo below seems to indicate. It's possible that the first military flight into Misrata delivered AD and/or EW systems.

https://twitter.com/user/status/1282033138403868677

https://twitter.com/user/status/1282032234447478788

The LNA claimed responsibility for the attack but there haven't been any confirmed reports of who launched the attack. The GNA claimed the jets were UAE Mirage 2000 that launched their attack from Egypt.

In the meantime, at least 14 (according to AFRICOM) MiG29 and Su24 fighters arrived at the Al-Jufrah air base in south central Libya. The LNA controls this base.




AFRICOM reported the jets flew from Russia, which is likely true, but I doubt they are de jure Ru AF. At some point they were but MiG29 has basically been removed from RuAF. So, this seems like a Wagner operation and the pilots will be Wagner mercs.

MiG29 and Su24 were spotted at the Russian air base in Syria prior to being seen in Libya.


Turkey and the GNA are setting the stage for an attack on Sirte. Egypt supports the LNA and has positioned its army on the border. Algeria stands with Egypt and has mobilized along its border with Libya. And France's Macron has stated he won't tolerate Turkey in Libya.
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