Quote:
Originally Posted by ComixZone
Noah Hanifin is locked in for 4 more years at 4.95M - cost certainty when the cap is going to be frozen at 81.5, 81.5 and 82.5 for the next 3 seasons. Just as we paid a premium for Hamonic, it's reasonable to expect a premium being paid here.
1st + 2nd + 2nd is market value for a player in Hanifin's situation, and the 1st being in that 10-15 range is a reasonable expectation.
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I don't agree with this. The Flames clearly overpaid for Hamonic. It has been reported that Toronto also had strong interest too but that just means that Treliving made the blunder of outbidding Dubas for a commodity.
Another factor is a looming expansion draft. One of the reasons that the Flames may have got Hamilton for good value was that the pending expansion draft was only going to allow teams to protect a limited number of known players but had no limits on yet to be established assets like draft picks. So picks likely had increased value plus them all being from the same draft. Whereas when the Flames dealt for Hamonic there was no expansion draft being held for the entire term of the contract.
So at this point there is another looming expansion draft. So any team trading for Hanifin will also factor in the player they may need to expose or lose into the equation. So the unknown round 2 pick now might have more value than a guy like Kylington.
I personally do not think trading Hanifin for future picks now is the right move. After the expansion draft I think he would have more trade value. I would consider moving him for a top line RW or a deal to add a top 6 center. But if those do not materialize keeping him and trying to develop him to anchor a second pair is a good option.