Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo
For sure.
But I included the last three drafts because I wanted to see what teams are doing with picks, and it seemed pointless to ignore the most recent data when looking at team trends.
A team like Philly has 6 goalies that I deemed developing ... Calgary has the two in Parsons and Wolf. The numbers can certainly change if a goalie hits that is a developing goalie now.
What's interesting is the trend away from drafting goalies high despite the need to do so if you want the odds to find a starter.
Only 14 goalies drafted in the top two rounds in the last 5 drafts, that's less than half the teams doing so.
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As mentioned last week, I think the trend is playing into the success rate. Teams see what you have illustrated here: goalies are a fickle crap-shoot, but the very small handful that do succeed appear more commonly to be high picks. I think teams by-and-large have become extremely reticent to use 1sts and high-2nds when selecting goalies because of the chances and time-frame of success relative to selecting other positions. It has become a bit of a self fulfilling prophecy: far fewer goalies drafted in the first two rounds boosts the success ratio overall.
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