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Old 03-02-2020, 11:23 AM   #26
Textcritic
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Cobra View Post
I sure wouldn't.

I don't put much stock in small sample size fluctuations.

The fact of the matter is, teams win more often at home than on the road. Any exception to that is simply random variance.
Yes, exactly.

I said it in another thread, but I much prefer that the wide variance in the home v. road record bends the way it does, and not the opposite direction. I am much more confident in the Flames's ability to improve their home-ice play than I would be if they were faced with correcting a bad road record.

On the other side of this is a team like Vegas: they have 10 of their remaining 15 games left on the road, where they are essentially a 0.500 team. In those situations, I will take the home-team odds every time.
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Last edited by Textcritic; 03-02-2020 at 11:32 AM.
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