Cases have gone from 1000 to 80,000 in the past 4-6 weeks. And that's with containment policies in place. It's plausible exponential growth continues...that's 80,000% growth. Extrapolation gets you to as many as 7,000,000 infected a month from now and a world wide epidemic at the end of April. Even if the rate slows markedly, it delays an arguably inevitable outcome only 2-4 months.
The financial markets are catching on about a week late...
|