They've already captured Qod IRGC operatives in Iraq; I think they pretty much know that the IRGC is stirring up crap in Iraq, even before this last attack. The question for the US might end up being not whether they can prove whether Iran is behind these attacks, but whether they can afford to back up those accusations with action. If you take the war to Iran, you leave an already stretched military completely vulnerable (and you're taking on both the IRGC and the Iranian army as well); on the other hand, if you allow the Qod Force to go unchecked, Iraq becomes even more difficult than it already is. This is a situation that could get very ugly very quickly, either way. But since the Qod Force answers directly to the Ayatollah, proof of their presence pretty much indites Iran at the highest levels.
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