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Old 02-21-2020, 11:11 AM   #1438
rubecube
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis View Post
This can only happen if Bernie is not the nominee, and he's getting close to lock territory. But the furthest left nominee since McGovern is not gonna make those states viable for the Dems. With Florida gone, the viable path has to include Ohio, and Trump won Ohio by such a large margin it's tough to consider it a swing state. Economic collapse brings more possibilities into play, but right now it's just as thin a path as Trump had in 2016.
Again, you're just pulling stuff out of your ass. Bernie is neck and neck with Trump in North Carolina and Georgia. Add Stacy Abrams to the ticket and he has an excellent chance at Georgia and coin flip chance at North Carolina. At that point he would only need Pennsylvania and Michigan, which will almost assuredly go for Sanders.

With regards to Ohio, the latest Emerson poll (which tends to lean Republican) had Sanders +6 in a head-to-head with Trump. Granted that poll is from October and comes with all the caveats of state polling and head to head hypotheticals, but this is hardly the foregone conclusion you keep asserting it is.
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