02-18-2020, 05:00 PM
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#173
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Lifetime Suspension
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: The Void between Darkness and Light
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kovaz
On Bennett v Mangiapane:
If you look at their individual goal scoring, they have very similar rates. They're both among our team leaders in chances and goals per 60.
Expected individual goals / 60:
Mangiapane: 0.83
Bennett: 0.81
Individual goals / 60:
Mangiapane: 0.99
Bennett: 0.97
If you look at the chances their linemates get, they're also very similar:
Linemate expected goals / 60:
Mangiapane: 1.81
Bennett: 1.76
The big difference is how often those linemates score on their changes
Linemate goals / 60:
Mangiapane: 1.74
Bennett: 1.10
So Bennett and Mangiapane: - Both generate among the highest individual chance rates on the team
- Both finish their chances about 20% higher than could be expected
- Both generate above average amounts of chances for their linemates
Not hard to argue that playing a bunch of time with Tkachuk, Backlund and Lindholm rather than Jankowski, Rieder, and Rinaldo can more than explain the difference in points.
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Now do penalties.
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