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Originally Posted by nfotiu
There's a very real possibility that Bernie could go in the convention as leader with only about 35% of delegates and 35-40% of the popular votes. You could potentially have 3 moderates hanging around in the 20-30% range.
What a huge mess that would make. Bernie's people would think he's the obvious choice with a significant lead. Moderates would see that two thirds of the party want a moderate and have rejected Bernie.
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Yes, it's shaping up to be a huge mess. Sanders has the support of 35 per cent of Democrats, but that seems to be his ceiling. His supporters' expectation that he'd draw in large numbers of younger and new voters is not materializing.
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Far from driving out high turnout, Sanders has not attracted waves of new, younger voters in Iowa and New Hampshire. According to the CNN exit poll, just 12% of New Hampshire voters were first-timers, and just 11% were under 30 years old. All this in a state he won by 22 points four years ago, a stone’s throw from his home base of Vermont.
https://www.theguardian.com/commenti...biden-campaign
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The real battle is for the moderate wing. Expect Buttigieg and Klobuchar to ramp up the attacks on one another. And Bloomberg is a massive wild-card.