Quote:
Originally Posted by Textcritic
I think it is a simple conclusion to make looking at your list that it is a mistake to commit a lot of money to goaltending. I don't know that I agree—I remain convinced that positionally speaking, goaltending is the most randomly volatile in hockey, and a "good" goalie will also experience plenty of bad seasons.
But I am curious about what you think the takeaway from this is about big-money goalies? Is there a correlation between what they are being paid and how they perform?
Something that I think is missing from this is the correlation between performance and playing time: I see that eight of the top-ten highest paid goalies are also in the top-fifteen of game-starts, and only four of the top-twenty have a SVP over 0.914. It is of course understandable that a team with a lot of money committed to one player playing the position will also want him playing a lot. But I remain sceptical that ANY goalie should be starting more than 66% of the games, especially from one season to the next—Martin Jones and his 342 game-starts in five years is the poster-boy for avoiding this situation.
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I am really not sure what a clear cut takeaway is.
I know that when I saw people suggesting Holtby may be looking at 10 M, I thought it was nuts.
I personally don’t think you should pay a goalie more than about 7. Admittedly somewhat arbitrarily chosen.
I don’t see how an agent makes the case for an extra dollar in that 7-10.5 range.
What I liked about Bingo’s stats and comparison is that it tries to compare what goalies are playing behind. Also interesting the difference behind the same team
I would be curious how you can go about evaluating goalies and establishing fair salaries in light of the data and comparables available