Quote:
Originally Posted by The Big Chill
I think you have to factor in the possibilities for those 5 teams. If one of those teams only had three options, they are more likely to draw Liverpool then a team with 6 possibilities.
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Yep, because for example liverpool cant draw napoli, spurs, or chelsea. Every other team has similar things, so it depends on who cant draw who and then changes the odds a bit
The times where it's a big factor are if say, city also finished 2nd and then essentially the atalanta spot is out. Meaning liverpool can only draw 3 teams, which then lowers the chances of barca or psg drawing those 3 teams, and raises the chances of them drawing an english team