Quote:
Originally Posted by GioforPM
I don't disagree that, right now, Lindholm is playing better. I don't diagree he is more well rounded (though as a full time centre who knows).
The only thing I disagree with is that GMs would now draft him ahead on the basis of 1.25 years of play that's at this level, versus Monahan's track record.
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The issue is the past 1.25 years of play is by far the most relevant. GM's will prioritize more relevant play.
Do we not see players continually leaving the NHL after a bad season despite a long history of success? This suggest to me that GM's are very much focusing on recent history.
I mean on this board we see fans argue all the time that we shouldn't trade a player while their value is low. If GM's prioritize 6 years of production over recent history then this concept wouldn't exist. But recent history is the most relevant. To some extent I think the fans exaggerate. For example I think Gaudreau still has fantastic trade value despite looking like garbage this year.
It's not that I'm discounting what Monahan has done. It's that Lindholm has shown he's as good. He's developed into as good or better of a player. How they looked 3 years ago has very little to do with how good they are right now.
Over a season is not a small sample size. Players get signed to multi-year million dollar contracts based on their results from one season.