Quote:
Originally Posted by Strange Brew
Aren't all these numbers based on expected production vs. actual production? And therefore meant for predicting future performance vs. evaluating past performance?
Point being, if I'm correct in that understanding, is that they predict Lucic will have a better impact on winning going forward. Not that he has had a bigger impact than the guy with 12 goals?
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Correct.
I was just pointing out that the data would be derived from action on the ice that has seen Neal score 8 powerplay goals to date, and 12 overall. You'd think he'd have a tonne of positive impact measures with those results, but he doesn't.
It's shooting percentage, and with that their model summarizes him as a sub replacement level player.
So yeah it's predictive, and that suggests a tough road.