Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo
If you see a negative overall impact then it's a good move to move him no? Peters was clearly not impressed. Comments like Tkachuk's "glad we have everyone back" was telling to me.
So no I don't think you keep a guy if you have to have him gone. And if he sputters again then it's a bigger sample size and maybe even Edmonton doesn't bite on the "only one year, he'll bounce back" conclusion.
The numbers take his powerplay impact into consideration. He's a +1.1 in powerplay offence to Lucic's +0.3.
But that positive impact hasn't been enough to offset his offensive help five on five which is -1.8
Five on five defense actually has him at a +0.4 which is interesting. Lucic is +0.6
So yeah it's taken into account and it's still not enough to push him below replacement level player.
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Aren't all these numbers based on expected production vs. actual production? And therefore meant for predicting future performance vs. evaluating past performance?
Point being, if I'm correct in that understanding, is that they predict Lucic will have a better impact on winning going forward. Not that he has had a bigger impact than the guy with 12 goals?