The biggest indicator is the mandated week off and all star break. I know it's a break and the players are allowed do zero training and drink their faces off for a week straight, but it's no surprise some teams come back and keep chugging along and other teams come back and basically have to re-do training camp in terms of conditioning and then falter while the serious contenders are just hitting their stride.
It's a deadly time to lose a step if you're serious about winning a cup.
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