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Bingo · 10-14-2019, 11:57 AM

I honestly get it.

I get that those that are optimistic hate being called homers.

I get that those that are pissed at the results and pretty negative don't like to be told they're over reacting.

Hockey fans are passionate, so things get heated.

Maybe it's the last year of my calendar life adding perspective, but I'm just not all that upset. Every year in the first ten games you can look at some pretty simple stats and see the teams that are out early and won't last, and out slow and will build back.

Edmonton leads the league with a all situations PDO of 107.25. That's almost hilarious. It's being done on a 16.5% shooting percentage when the league average is 10.

Colorado, Buffalo, Anaheim and the Rangers aren't as extreme, but they too have numbers that suggest early season heater and regression just around the corner.

Teams like Tampa and Vegas live at the top of these things. They have the skill level to shoot higher, and the goaltending to beat averages. They likely don't slide that much (they will to some degree).

On the bottom end you have a bunch of teams that weren't supposed to be that good and just aren't (Minny terrible goaltending, Jersey hurting everywhere, LA, Columbus, Ottawa)

But you also have San Jose. They've lost some talent but with a PDO of 95 I'm not sure even Martin Jones is that bad.

Florida is improved but have had a rough start from Bobrovsky and a terrible shooting percentage.

Dallas and Calgary are basically tied for 8th in reverse PDO with shooting percentage down 2.5% from league average and save percentage down another 2%.

Dallas has Bishop, they should be fine, they're shooting percentage should rebound somewhat but keep in mind they struggled offensively last year as well..

Calgary should see their shooting percentage rebound, as they were the 2nd highest scoring team last year, but those that worry about goaltending have every right. This tandem may be sub .900.

I'm not going to tell anyone they are panicking, or when to panic, or if they should panic.

But I'm going to let it ride into November before I get in a knot.

10-14-2019, 11:57 AM	#117
Bingo Owner Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: Calgary Exp:	I honestly get it. I get that those that are optimistic hate being called homers. I get that those that are pissed at the results and pretty negative don't like to be told they're over reacting. Hockey fans are passionate, so things get heated. Maybe it's the last year of my calendar life adding perspective, but I'm just not all that upset. Every year in the first ten games you can look at some pretty simple stats and see the teams that are out early and won't last, and out slow and will build back. Edmonton leads the league with a all situations PDO of 107.25. That's almost hilarious. It's being done on a 16.5% shooting percentage when the league average is 10. Colorado, Buffalo, Anaheim and the Rangers aren't as extreme, but they too have numbers that suggest early season heater and regression just around the corner. Teams like Tampa and Vegas live at the top of these things. They have the skill level to shoot higher, and the goaltending to beat averages. They likely don't slide that much (they will to some degree). On the bottom end you have a bunch of teams that weren't supposed to be that good and just aren't (Minny terrible goaltending, Jersey hurting everywhere, LA, Columbus, Ottawa) But you also have San Jose. They've lost some talent but with a PDO of 95 I'm not sure even Martin Jones is that bad. Florida is improved but have had a rough start from Bobrovsky and a terrible shooting percentage. Dallas and Calgary are basically tied for 8th in reverse PDO with shooting percentage down 2.5% from league average and save percentage down another 2%. Dallas has Bishop, they should be fine, they're shooting percentage should rebound somewhat but keep in mind they struggled offensively last year as well.. Calgary should see their shooting percentage rebound, as they were the 2nd highest scoring team last year, but those that worry about goaltending have every right. This tandem may be sub .900. I'm not going to tell anyone they are panicking, or when to panic, or if they should panic. But I'm going to let it ride into November before I get in a knot.