Quote:
Originally Posted by dobbles
I think thats a generally fair statement. However, one of the things predicted is an increase in severity and recurrence of these events. For instance, around half of the Atlantic hurricanes to have the lowest recorded pressure (linked to strength of hurricane) have occurred in the last 10-15 years. Something like that can be tied to warming waters in the Carribean and Gulf of Mexico which could be tied to global warming.
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But some of that could also be attributed to greatly improved observation abilities with aircraft and satellites, allowing you track a hurricane through its entire life and take measurements at its most powerful part. In the first half of the 20th Century, all you had were ships (who were probably trying to get the hell away from the storm) and land observations, which may have missed peak strength.
https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf...MS-D-17-0184.1
The only reliable long-running data set, the number of landfalling hurricanes in the US doesn't show any real trend:
