Quote:
Originally Posted by ricardodw
I sure would like to get another year's look at Tkachuk.
I think that everything was inflated last season and there will be a regression to the norm this year. There is no chance at all in my mind that many player on the Flames improve on their career years they had last season.
Gaudreau, Gio and Monahan all were 20 pts higher than their career years. Lindholmwas 30 pts higher.
Just falling back to their 2nd best NHL year would be a significant regression. Falling back to their 4 year trailing average ....
Tkachuk does not have enough of a track record... Maybe his 4 year average will become 77 pts. or maybe 58 like his 3 year trailing average.
If Tkachuk took Boeser contact and went 50 - 60 - 55 would the Flames Qualify him @ 8M.... or try to extend him at 5/6 for another 4-5 years?
The same questions exist for Boeser and Mieier and Werenski and McAvoy
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You're naming players that are supposed to get better ... the only players not in the peak portion of their careers are Giordano who though a freak is likely to take a step back, and ironically Tkachuk who hasn't even entered the peak section yet.
But all fair.
You're not sold. GMs need to make those calls. If they see progression and a strong peak pay for it up front and take the benefit. Have your doubts? Bridge him.