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Old 09-17-2019, 10:26 AM   #53
ricardodw
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo View Post
It's a balancing act.

Teams are all trying to gauge the future of the cap and the future of each player.

You're basically arguing teams should go from putting all their eggs in the 8 year contract basket to putting all their eggs in the short term contract basket.

Both strategies are disasters in my mind.

Make a call on each player, hope you get most of those calls right and you have a huge window.

Right now I think it's safe to assume the salaries won't be dialed back. Escrow may mean we stall going forward for a few years, but the TV deal will get money moving again.

I think R. Andersson and Tkachuk are good bets to lock down in my opinion, and those are the decisions GMs need to make.
I sure would like to get another year's look at Tkachuk.

I think that everything was inflated last season and there will be a regression to the norm this year. There is no chance at all in my mind that many player on the Flames improve on their career years they had last season.

Gaudreau, Gio and Monahan all were 20 pts higher than their career years. Lindholmwas 30 pts higher.

Just falling back to their 2nd best NHL year would be a significant regression. Falling back to their 4 year trailing average ....

Tkachuk does not have enough of a track record... Maybe his 4 year average will become 77 pts. or maybe 58 like his 3 year trailing average.

If Tkachuk took Boeser contact and went 50 - 60 - 55 would the Flames Qualify him @ 8M.... or try to extend him at 5/6 for another 4-5 years?

The same questions exist for Boeser and Mieier and Werenski and McAvoy
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