Quote:
Originally Posted by rubecube
That's not how it works though. You have to look at win expectancy. Failing on 4th down and kicking the FG probably had about the same win expectancy.
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Win expectancy isn't going to change appreciably going for it because it's so low percentage and there was still 25 minutes left at that point, you're going to get four more possessions minimum. Kicking the FG down 21-6 on 4th and 9 is a much worse decision because of the time factor.