Quote:
Originally Posted by peter12
I've already posted a fairly strong analysis of the data. That is enough, as far as I am concerned. If you aren't even willing to engage with the data beyond a basis anecdotal protest, then what else do we have to say to each other?
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There are certain issues IMO with the data that's out there.
1. The data is not all encompassing. As far as I know, it's not like the community is calling in everything that is happening. There's a ton of stuff that are not reported, but are still significant and real increases of occurrences in the surrounding area. I'm pretty sure CPS isn't reporting all the data as well.
2. The data discussed was about the area 250M around the SIS. Have you considered the context of that?
North: 1.5 blocks (in between 10th and 11th Ave)
East: 2 blocks essentially to the Beltliner (All of Memorial Park)
South: 2.5 blocks (Essentially to Red's Diner)
West: 2 blocks (Just shy of the park where Lougheed house is location)
A 4 x 4 block radius is what the data is pointing at. I feel like it's missing data from a significant amount of activity beyond that radius. While it's probably true that a lot of the activity is concentrated in that 4x4 radius, there's still a significant amount of activity if you added another 250-500M of radius.
3. Due to the newness of the SIS, there was a shallow pool of data until only recently. We are only starting to hit the solid bulk of data now that a longer duration has elapsed.
Even if the data says there's a decrease from previous, it's like merely nicking off the tip of the iceberg that was plopped into the community. You might as well be saying, "Hey this stock you hold increased 10% today" after an over drop of 90%. It's still way down.
4. Data vs anecdotal. While I get that those who don't live in the area must mostly rely on data to understand what's going on, but that doesn't mean that the shift based on the data is negligible. Forest Lawn probably in Calgary is literally one of the safest communities in the entire world statistically speaking. Does that mean there's no significant reason to not consider that community when looking for a place to live? (Apologies to those who live in Forest Lawn).
We had a reasonable understanding where our community was ranked quality of life wise. We then watched our quality of life tumble faster than a bottle at a carnival game. A good combination of data and anecdotal give a more balanced understanding of the situation.