Quote:
Originally Posted by Flash Walken
The way it might have to work for Calgary is by giving him the Timo Meier styled contract where the Flames gamble on Tkachuk going to 1 year from UFA with a 10m qualifying offer.
That effing blows from flames management perspective though.
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That buys a lot of franchise ruining risk coverage.
signing for 4 by 6 turns into a 8x8 with a 4x10 added on at the end of the 4 x6
That would be fine if Tkachuk replaces Gio , Gaudreau and Monahan as the best players on the team and play a big role in 3-4 playoff series wins.
If 2018-19 was a career year and Tkachuk is actually a 40-50 pt player that he was before the Flames miracle regular season then the 4x6 turns into a 34M over 5 years and he is on the UFA market with with little chance of a 8M+ contract. That is the same time frame that Aho becomes a UFA.
I will try to put a perspective on the situation is that the Flames are in:
289 goals are the 8th highest goals scored by any NHL team since the 1998-99 season.
Only 19 teams over the last 20 years have scored 275 or more goals in a season.
TB has done it in back to back seasons 2017-18 (290), 2018-19 (317) and Ottawa 2005-06 (312) 2006-07 (286) as has Buffalo 2005-06 (276) 2006-07 (298)
The odds are overwhelming against the Flames putting up 275 goals this coming season. Not a lot of scoring numbers are going to go up a significant amount.
Last year the Flames bought low... they signed Hanifin 6x 4.95 2 ufa yrs and Lindholm 6x4.85 4 UFA years.
Had Lindholm signed a 3 yr rather than a 2 year RFA contact with Carolina would have last season moved him into a 8x8?
Signing Tkachuk to a 8+ x 8 yrs has a good chance of the Flames buying high.
EW hockey has the 2 year contract estimates a 5.37