Quote:
Originally Posted by SuperMatt18
The advanced and counting stats aren't actually that far apart for these two over the last two seasons.
If you look at the last two seasons at 5v5:
Counting Stats:
Neal:
GP: 134
G: 22
A: 20
P: 42
Shots: 264
Shooting Percentage: 8.33%
Hits: 88
Lucic:
GP: 161
G: 11
A: 28
P: 39
Shots: 185
Shooting Percentage: 5.95%
Hits: 492
That's actually way closer than I thought it would be. Neal the better goal scorer but not as good of a distributor, and doesn't play physical Anymore. Lucic's shot seems to have dissapeared but he can still hit.
Advanced Stats:
Neal:
CF%: 50.5%
CF%: -1.76%
HDCF%: 47.4%
GF%: 46.4%
xGF%: 48.1%
xGF% Rel: -4.69%
PDO: .992
Offensive Zone Start: 59.5%
Lucic
CF%: 50.9%
CF% Rel:2.09%
HDCF%: 50.8%
GF%: 47.1%
xGF%: 51.2%
XGF% Rel: 2.3%
PDO: .992
Offensive Zone Start: 49.8%
From an advanced stat perspective Lucic has actually been much better than Neal over the last two seasons. Better from a raw number perspective, better from a relative to teammates perspective, and did it with tougher zone starts.
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https://twitter.com/ineffectivemath/...742078466?s=21
Further to this excellent post, here is a post with fun pictures from Oilers writer Blake McCurdy. It states and shows how Lucic drives play better than Neal.
So if the Oilers are regaining salary and the Flames are getting a draft pick, I’ll count myself among those who are reasonably happy with this deal. I’ll feel even better if something can be done about the NMC.