Quote:
Originally Posted by TheIronMaiden
I don't know much about NHLe but does it typically hold water, or is it just smoke?
|
It's a relatively good predictor of production at the point of entry into the NHL, since NHLe is re-computated regularly on the basis of actual production of rookies from the past season, so the sample size also continues to grow.
But it is important to know that the figure is an AVERAGE. Like all averages there are anomalies at either end of the datapoints, and there will always be players who out-perform or underperform their projection.
In the present instance, it is interesting purely for comparative purposes between these. particular players, but bear in mind also that a players' NHLe is likely to improve quite dramatically after his draft year. NHLe is most useful when projecting players who are at the point of entry into the NHL, which then factors into consideration different numbers than those from his draft year.