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Old 05-06-2019, 09:51 AM   #151
delayedreflex
Crash and Bang Winger
 
Join Date: Oct 2013
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Quote:
Originally Posted by devo22 View Post
FWIW, Matt Cane predicts 6 years and almost 8m/year.

1 yr $6,331,375 - 1.8%
2 yrs $5,466,670 - 4.0%
3 yrs $7,099,516 - 1.8%
4 yrs $7,357,256 - 2.0%
5 yrs $8,083,950 - 13.8%
6 yrs $7,980,355 - 38.0%
7 yrs $8,031,774 - 16.2%
8 yrs $9,600,960 - 22.4%

https://twitter.com/user/status/1125201678746226690
Curious how his algorithm works - this projection basically shows zero premium paid for more years between 5-7 years, then a big jump for an 8 year contract. That seems to be the case for most of the RFA players on his list for some reason - if I were to guess, it does seem like it's generally franchise players that sign 8-year deals as an RFA so perhaps that inflates things. Or maybe it's that Matthews signing a monster 5-year contract has kind of thrown the 5-year value out of whack.
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