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Old 04-19-2019, 07:55 PM   #256
Mathgod
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Join Date: Feb 2009
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scary Eloranta View Post
Just heard Wills say the team down 3-1 has a measly chance of 9.3 of coming back?? And he’s a huge homer (obviously and understandably). I have no illusions of a comeback but thought odds might be better than that actually.


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That's just the historical rate at which teams down 3-1 have come back to win the series.

If you assume each game is 50/50, the Flames have a 12.5% chance. If you assume the Flames are the favorites in each game, the odds go up from there (or down obviously if they are underdogs).
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