Quote:
Originally Posted by Ozy_Flame
Actually the AP is hoping to take votes from both sides, and appeal to the voters who classify as moderates and centrists. Siphoning votes from both sides leads to a more likely minority government situation, where the AP, knowing will not have governing or Opposition status, can hold the balance of power.
This election was never intended be won by the AP, but rather gain exposure and position themselves as the check and balance on two spectrum parties.
The fact that these letters are going to (Mountain View, Edgemont) are likely great news for the AP war room.
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Of course that's the plan, but the reality is that they aren't considered strong enough to actually win the ridings so "soft" supporters or people who are definitely going to want to keep the NDP/UCP out as opposed to giving the AP a pat on the back are more likely to hold their nose and vote in that manner.
I think that you're delusional in talking about a minority government or balance of power situation. I mean the polls could be wrong, but how likely are they to be wrong by like 15-20 AP seats? Regardless of the poll, every single one shows that the UCP is set for a majority. If there's a minority it would be a last minute spike in NDP votes where all the close seats go their way. Not only is that unlikely, but I think that looking at Cowboy89's posts earlier in this thread show how difficult a road that is for the NDP.
Truthfully, the best case scenario for the AP is good showing as the one 3rd party, a seat or two and maybe the Liberals holding on for one seat. Whether the Liberals win a seat or not, those two merge and the centrists have a chance at (a) official party status and (b) live to fight another day.