Quote:
Originally Posted by Cowboy89
They completely overdid it too. The bozo eruptions vary between the very minor: Someone 'liked' something uncouth on social media some years ago to the more major, where Mark Smith's sermon combined with his paper on firing catholic teachers for being gay can probably serve as a proxy manifesto on where his beliefs around sexual minorities really lie. But by totally overdoing all the other stuff it makes it a lot easier for people who are not as engaged to dismiss the Smith uproar as just another component of the gutter politics campaign the NDP is waging.
They also continuously make the mistake of assuming what's shocking / 'beyond the pale' is aligned among voters. They are using the Mike Morrison types as the barometer of what's okay / not okay. That isn't necessarily where the median of Alberta voters are situated.
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And it wasn't even difficult to understand that.
The campaign strategists for the NDP should already be fired, as the whole thing has been nothing but a disaster because they totally misread what the electorate desired to be addressed.
One thing heard everywhere was no negative campaigning. They were running that absurd 30 year old footage of Kenney before the writ was officially dropped. Kind of set the tone and indicated what was to come.
Then knowing what the vote counts were in the last election. I mean just a cursory look at riding by riding from 2015 would have told them they were starting from behind regardless of performance as a governing body the last 4 years. Of the 83 ridings in Alberta, if you totalled up the WR/PC votes vs the NDP votes the NDP would have won 26 of them IIRC. So they needed to sway votes from those that didnt vote for them last time in a BIG way.
Which leads to the merger since last time. In a short period of time, the UCP became the single largest membership to a provincial political party in the history of this country. Did that not signal to the NDP "thinkers" that they needed some sort of strategy that those on the right were pretty well organized, defined, and determined to fight the incumbents? Cause again, the dippers needed to sway a bunch of those from the right to have any chance since vote splitting was eliminated in any meaningful way.
Spending...they just havent stopped spending and people didnt want it any more. Instead she rolls out 13 Billion in ADDITIONAL spending when they are borrowing money, simply to keep the lights on in the legislature. I think the daycare thing, as much as it may appeal to many, was a major mistake. It was asking for even more money to take care of peoples kids...people who made the choice to be parents. More "nanny state" kind of stuff that so many are wanting pulled back. Rightly or wrongly.
Of course there are a plethora of other issues but man did they completely misjudge on how to be re-elected and something that is more often than not as incumbents...an advantage.
Now? It appears their ONLY hope is a truly gigantic "bozo" eruption or something even worse for them to even have a sniff, beyond Edmonton.
Notley will win her seat, as will a bunch in the capital. Beyond that its looking very very bleak.
I really really hope Shannon Philips gets crushed in Lethbridge along with Ceci (almost a guarantee at this point for him). Pipe dream but I would like to see Sarah Hoffman get beat too....as i am a sewer rat.
