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Old 04-05-2019, 12:37 PM   #140
tkflames
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CaptainYooh View Post
Hrudey and Francis were both saying two days ago (!) that probability of Calgary playing Colorado is 96%. Today, Colorado is only one point behind Dallas. If they win their last game and Dallas loses two of theirs, Calgary will have to play Dallas. Wow, either Hrudey and Francis have no clue or those probabilities were pulled out of someone's a$$ in a hurry...
Those are still horrible odds for Colorado....
Dallas wins game 1,wins game 2
Dallas wins game 1, loses game 2
Dallas loses game 1, wins game 2
Dallas loses game 1, loses game 2 on OT or SO
Dallas loses game 1 in OT, loses game 2 in OT
Dallas loses game in OT, loses game 2

All of the above can be written out for Colorado winning or losing their game, wins or losses in OT and wins or losses in a SO.

The only way Colorado gets in is in one scenario, whereas Dallas has every other scenario for losing. I dont know if the percentage is 96% of Dallas finishing higher, but its definitely higher than 66%.
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