Quote:
Originally Posted by CaptainYooh
Hrudey and Francis were both saying two days ago (!) that probability of Calgary playing Colorado is 96%. Today, Colorado is only one point behind Dallas. If they win their last game and Dallas loses two of theirs, Calgary will have to play Dallas. Wow, either Hrudey and Francis have no clue or those probabilities were pulled out of someone's a$$ in a hurry...
|
If you take a 50/50 approach - 4 consecutive outcomes would have to go one particular way for us to end up not playing colorado.
.50 x .50 x .50 x .50 = 0.0625, in other words a 93.75% chance.
When you take in to account the fact that only a single point lost by colorado, or a single point gained by Dallas would also lock in the outcome - yes, 96% was completely accurate.