Quote:
Originally Posted by Slava
They’re nearly identical. The policy “differences” are negligible, and certainly not enough to differentiate them for the average voter. And I hate to say it, but they quite likely won’t be winning seats. They might win a seat each, but plural seats and balance of power talk seems extremely unlikely. I know the polls have been wrong before, but there hasn’t been a poll with these guys anywhere near multiple seats, or enough to hold a balance of power unless it’s a government short of a majority by one seat. The projections are far greater than that (by something like 20 seats).
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They aren't "nearly identical". The liberals are closer in terms of policy to the NDP than the AP. They likely will be winning seats - the AP is likely winning one and has a chance at two. The Liberals are likely winning Khan's seat.
You are right that it's extremely unlikely that there will be any sort of minority government, much less a minority government narrow enough for either or both of them to be the tipping point. But that doesn't suggest they should merge. The reality is that the Alberta liberals are effectively the David Khan party. He's basically an independent, he just wants a party banner so that he can justify being included in debates and have a recognized brand.