Quote:
Originally Posted by crazy_eoj
The EKOS poll is total garbage, nothing from that should be believed. Solicited by NDP allied Unifor, and targeted NDP friendly past voters in the poll.
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It does reek a little like a 'push poll.' There was a twitter feed that EKOS mentioned that the poll was commissioned by a client and that the client 'leaked it.' The client being unifor. Given the NDP's ties to labour it seems like a nice way to pay for a poll outside of their own election funds and coordinate timing. But that is unsubstantiated speculation on my part. Up until this poll there were no indications that the NDP had any momentum outside of Edmonton. A 'push poll' is a tool in the underdog's playbook to motive their base to vote (Yes we do have a chance) and try to create a bandwagon effect for undecideds. Two weeks out from election day when none of the polls budged much in the first two weeks seems like the optimal time for such a poll.
That all said the UCP probably have to take this seriously though because this poll matched the timeline that they released policy platforms that were probably unexpectedly right of where the public was expecting on a few items. You have to figure that this pushed some people out of the undecideds into other parties and maybe even caused them to lose a few votes. That said the electoral math continues to strongly favor them. In the rural / suburban ridings outside of Calgary and Edmonton they have 38 seats that are all safe and likely won't waver. With 44 needed for a majority, that means the NDP basically have to sweep both cities in their entirety to win, including some areas of solid UCP support.