View Single Post
Old 03-14-2019, 10:01 AM   #1981
Bingo
Owner
 
Bingo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Calgary
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by PeteMoss View Post
That's the difficult part. Do you use the full season, Rittich's NHL career, Rittich's North American career or something else.



We've been over the sample picking so no point in rehasing.

If you really want to split Rittich's season into spots where that was definite changes in his stats its like this:

October - All world sensation

6 games, 4 starts - 939 save percentage

November 1 - Feb 3 - Average Starting Goalie

25 games, 24 starts - 913 save percentage

February 7 - March 12 - Bad goalie
*this starts with the game he was pulled against SJ

9 games, 9 starts - 876 save percentage


You can split hairs in the 1st and 3rd segments because they are smaller samples - in October he really just had 2 amazing games (1 goal on 45 shots vs NYR and 1 goal on 29 shots vs Buffalo. In Feb/March - you can pick out the 2,3 games that kill his stats (Tampa, Toronto, NJ)

You can believe whatever you want out of those numbers. I believe in using the full sample
Aren't you pretty much saying the same thing then? You break that into time slots and it's a decline.

On the season I still think he's the better goalie because the stats support that (so does the eye test).

But when one guy is sliding (you laid that out), and the other guy has stabilized somewhat ... recency is the best way to chart things going forward isn't it?

But I agree if you're handing out the award for best Flames goalie this season you look at the whole season.
Bingo is online now   Reply With Quote