Quote:
Originally Posted by PeteMoss
If you can show me any proof that using a smaller sample of goalie performance instead of the full season is a better predictor of future results than I will take this seriously. Or if it is that Jan 1st should be the cut-off instead of Dec 1st or Feb 1st.
Until then I will take larger full season sample over smaller 2.5 months sample.
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Sorry that doesn't make much sense to me.
I'm with you if a person goes back and picks some perfect date where Smith stopped sucking and Rittich started playing poorly in order to make a point. Or if a person goes just five on five, or just when the games are close, or just on Tuesdays.
But when one goalie was top three in the league for the month of October and then far less than that the rest of the way I think you need to look at cut off points.
The key is to make sure they're not slated to swing a view.
Do you have a date you like more than January 1st? I'll be glad to update.